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May 2, 2016

INCOME OUTDISTANCES SPENDING
 Personal income rose 0.4% in March, yet the Commerce Department reported personal spending up just 0.1%.That mild uptick contributed to a poor first quarter for GDP; last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated Q1 growth at 0.5%.1

CONSUMER OPTIMISM DECLINES
 The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dipped 1.9 points in April to 94.2. Also descending was the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, which ended April at 89.0 after concluding March at 91.0.1,2

A ROUNDUP OF HOUSING NEWS
 New home sales fell 1.5% in March according to the Census Bureau, after a 0.4% retreat in February. The (just-released) February S&P/Case-Shiller home price index shows a 5.4% overall rise in home values across 12 months, down from 5.7% in the January edition. Lastly, the National Association of Realtors reported a 1.4% March gain in its pending home sales index.1

MAJOR INDICES RETREAT
 The Nasdaq was the benchmark that stumbled hardest last week on Wall Street, falling 2.67% to settle at 4,775.36 Friday. April ended with the S&P 500 at 2,065.30 and the Dow at 17,773.64; the S&P lost 1.26% for the week; the Dow, 1.28%.3

THIS WEEK: Monday, April’s ISM manufacturing PMI appears plus earnings from AmeriGas, Anadarko Petroleum, Del Taco, Denny’s, Ferrari, Fossil, Loews Corp., and Sysco. Tuesday earnings include results from Archer Daniels Midland, Avis Budget, Boise Cascade, CBS, Clorox, Cummins, CVS Health, Duke Energy, Estee Lauder, Etsy, GrubHub, Hyatt, Macerich, Molson Coors, Papa John’s, Pfizer, Pitney Bowes, Smart & Final, Sprint, Starwood Hotels & Resorts, Valero Energy, Vulcan Materials, and Western Union. On Wednesday, the Street looks at the April ISM services PMI, ADP’s April job-change report and earnings from Allstate, Chubb, Fitbit, GoDaddy, Green Dot, Humana, iHeart Media, Marathon Oil, Mosaic, Noble Energy, Priceline, Prudential Financial, Sempra Energy, Sunoco, Tesla, Tesoro, Time Warner, Transocean, TripAdvisor, Whole Foods, and Zynga. Thursday, an initial claims report and a new Challenger job-cut report appear, plus earnings announcements from Acadia Pharmaceuticals, Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, El Pollo Loco, Fluor, GoPro, Icahn Enterprises, Jamba, Kellogg, Kemper, Kraft Heinz, Merck, MGM Resorts, Motorola Solutions, Nvidia, Occidental Petroleum, Shell Midstream Partners, Wingstop, and Yelp. The Labor Department’s April jobs report arrives Friday, plus earnings from Allergan, Cigna, Exelon, Revlon, and Weyerhaeuser.

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 4/29/16 4,5,6,7  Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.
  % CHANGE     Y-T-D    1-YR CHG    5-YR AVG    10-YR AVG  
  DJIA    +2.00    -1.45    +7.75    +5.64  
  NASDAQ    -4.63    -4.94    +13.24    +10.56  
  S&P 500    +1.05    -1.97    +10.29    +5.76  
  REAL YIELD    4/29 RATE    1 YR AGO    5 YRS AGO    10 YRS AGO  
  10 YR TIPS    0.12%    0.14%    0.75%    2.39%  

Sincerely,

 The Advisors at Sound Financial Strategies Group

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The opinions voiced in this article are for general information only. They are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual and do not constitute an endorsement by CAMAS.

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. This information has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note - investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All indices are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

Citations.
 1 -tradingeconomics.com/united-states/calendar[4/29/16]
 2 -foxbusiness.com/markets/2016/04/29/consumer-sentiment-slips-in-april.html[4/29/16]
 3 -markets.on.nytimes.com/research/markets/usmarkets/usmarkets.asp[4/29/16]
 4 -markets.wsj.com/us[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F29%2F15&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F29%2F15&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F29%2F15&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F29%2F11&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F29%2F11&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F29%2F11&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F28%2F06&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F28%2F06&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 5-bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F28%2F06&x=0&y=0[4/29/16]
 6 -treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield[4/29/16]
 7 -treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll[4/29/16]

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